From Genesis members to 2.2 million — phase by phase, month by month, metric by metric. Pre-Seed · Partner Recruitment · Pre-Aurora · Aurora · Nebula · Pulsar · Supernova.
This document was produced by eight independent simulated specialists. All data, projections, and strategic recommendations reflect their combined analysis of the Chronimy Protocol architecture, whitepaper, and canonical locked values. All outputs are AI-generated simulations — not financial advice.
Background grounded in community-led acquisition architecture and influencer programme design across European fintech platforms.
Background grounded in DeFi mechanism design, token supply engineering, and ERC-20 governance frameworks.
Background grounded in FINMA, FCA, and MiCA regulatory analysis. Utility token characterisation and cross-jurisdictional non-profit foundation structures.
Background grounded in data-driven Web3 growth strategy and influencer campaign analysis across crypto, finance, and lifestyle verticals.
Background grounded in behavioural economics applied to trust systems, decentralised community dynamics, and social proof mechanics.
Background grounded in voucher campaign economics, scenario stress-testing, and transparent treasury architecture for blockchain foundations.
Background grounded in phased Web3 platform delivery and agile milestone-gated release structures.
Creator of the Chronimy Protocol. All architecture originates here. Identity protected by design as a deliberate operational security measure. Final sign-off authority on all simulation outputs and canonical values.
Genesis is the opening phase: it provides the capital that converts an idea into a legal, architected, and partner-ready protocol. These are the earliest supporters — they fund the foundations before there is anything to show the world. They pay the same flat price as every later phase; what Genesis offers is the largest allocation, never a cheaper entry.
Per-Pack Contribution. Value: CHF 1,300. Detail: Cash — single payment.
Credits Received. Value: 16,250. Detail: 1,250 credits per voucher — the same flat price, every phase.
The same flat price as every phase — no premium, no discount, no bonus. What Genesis offers is the largest allocation and the earliest place in line, because Genesis supporters back the protocol first.
Credits are non-transferable instruments. Conversion to CNMY is probable subject to licensing being secured where compliant.
Chronimy's X.com account operates broadcast-only from Day 1. No comments. No FUD accumulation. No moderation overhead. No controversy threads. Participants tag in their own share posts — never in Chronimy's posts. This is not a restriction. It is a design decision that protects the signal quality of every official post indefinitely.
Before Aurora opens, Chronimy contracts up to 500 influencer partners across five verticals. These partners form the distribution infrastructure — the only access point to Aurora for the first 14 days. They are compensated on performance only. Their content distribution fee never comes from contributor funds.
This simulation models a 300-partner baseline as a conservative reference point. The actual programme targets up to 500 contracted partners by Pulsar phase. All conversion math, proxy audience figures, and outcome ranges that follow are computed against the 300-partner baseline so they describe a defensible floor — not a ceiling.
▸ 3,000 influencers approached. Volume: 3,000. Detail: Personalised pitch · 5 verticals: crypto / finance / tech / lifestyle / trust.
▸ 750 respond — 25% response rate. Volume: 750. Detail: Industry average 15–30% for quality cold outreach.
▸ 300 partners contracted — 40% of responders. Volume: 300. Detail: 30% USDC + 25% voucher content distribution compensation above-market fee rate justifies premium close rate.
▸ 40,000,000 combined followers. Volume: 40,000,000. Detail: Contracted and obligated to share official content — proxy audience confirmed.
▸ 300 partners · 5 verticals · single-tier only. Volume: —. Detail: No secondary earning · no MLM structure · Genesis phase.
Mega (1M+). Count: 30. Avg Followers: 1,200,000. Total Reach: 36,000,000. Primary Role: Brand awareness · trust signal.
Mid-tier (100K–1M). Count: 90. Avg Followers: 150,000. Total Reach: 13,500,000. Primary Role: Conversion · community trust.
Micro (10K–100K). Count: 180. Avg Followers: 55,000. Total Reach: 9,900,000. Primary Role: Highest-trust referrals.
TOTAL. Count: 300. Avg Followers: —. Total Reach: 40M+ followers. Primary Role: Full-funnel coverage.
This is why Aurora conversion rates are defensible at 10–13% against cold traffic benchmarks of 1–3%.
In this simulation, the 300 contracted partners deliver a combined proxy audience of 40 million followers — all of whom receive Chronimy content as a trusted recommendation from a creator they follow, not as advertising from an unknown brand.
This is not cold reach. Partner followers have a parasocial trust relationship with their creator. When that creator shares Chronimy content, their credibility partially transfers. This is why Aurora conversion rates are defensible at 10–13% against cold traffic benchmarks of 1–3%.
Note: the 40M proxy audience figure is used throughout this simulation as a contracted reach assumption. It is not claimed publicly until achieved.
Distribution fee rate. Detail: 30% of referred contribution. Active Phases: Aurora · Nebula · Pulsar. Note: Supernova: 0%.
Payment. Detail: Instant USDC. Active Phases: On contribution received. Note: No vesting · no cliff.
USDC delivery. Detail: USDC delivery is a stablecoin payment to partners for content services. It does not constitute USD currency exposure for contributors and is unrelated to contributor funds..
Source. Detail: Pre-allocated budget only. Active Phases: Never from contributor funds. Note: Glass Treasury.
Structure. Detail: Single-tier. Active Phases: No secondary earning. Note: Closed programme.
Exclusivity window. Detail: 14 days per phase. Active Phases: Partner links ONLY access. Note: Public after 14 days.
Multi-sig keyholders are selected from public applications before a single CHF is raised. Partners promote the selection event to their 40M combined audience. Follow @Chronimy to witness the treasury keyholder selection live.
30 Mega. Reach (20%): 7,200,000. Conv. 0.25%: 0.25%. Followers: 18,000.
90 Mid-tier. Reach (20%): 2,700,000. Conv. 0.25%: 0.25%. Followers: 6,750.
180 Micro. Reach (20%): 1,980,000. Conv. 0.25%: 0.25%. Followers: 4,950.
TOTAL. Reach (20%): 11,880,000. Conv. 0.25%: —. Followers: ~29,700.
The multi-sig event is not awareness content — it is a participation event with real stakes. Follow rates for participation events run 2–4× higher than generic awareness content.
Immediately following the multi-sig result announcement — momentum is at its highest. Five cash prizes available worldwide.
Competition entries — direct. Est. Additional Followers: +8,000–12,000. Mechanism: Follow required for entry.
Organic repost — tag-3. Est. Additional Followers: +3,000–6,000. Mechanism: Each entrant tags 3.
Secondary wave — tagged persons. Est. Additional Followers: +1,000–3,000. Mechanism: Chain effect.
TOTAL COMPETITION UPLIFT. Est. Additional Followers: +12,000–21,000. Mechanism: —.
Conservative. Beat 1: ~18,000. Beat 2: ~12,000. Total: ~30,000.
Likely. Beat 1: ~29,700. Beat 2: ~18,000. Total: ~47,700.
Optimistic. Beat 1: ~40,000. Beat 2: ~25,000. Total: ~65,000.
Target (whitepaper floor). Beat 1: —. Beat 2: —. Total: 30,000 ✓ achieved at Conservative.
Follower conversion rate 0.25% applied to algorithm-reached impressions (20% of total). Industry benchmark for participation-event influencer campaigns: 0.15–0.35%. Beat 2 tag-3 mechanic creates warm personal notification to ~3× entrant count.
Tagged-person conversion rates run 4–8× higher than cold impressions — a named personal notification from someone you know carries the originating creator's parasocial trust. This is not reach. It is trust transfer at scale.
Aurora is the first public phase. For the first 14 days, access is exclusively through contracted partner links. No direct public access exists. Contributors receive credits — not tokens — 1,250 credits per voucher. Conversion to CNMY is probable subject to licensing being secured where compliant.
Only partner links work for the first 14 days of Aurora. Partners have been promoting for months to a warm, engaged audience. They are paid a 30% USDC + 25% voucher content distribution compensation on every contribution through their link. After 14 days — direct public access opens.
X.com followers at Aurora open. Likely: ~42,000. Optimistic: ~65,000. Benchmark: Two-beat campaign. Note: Partners + competition.
Partner proxy audience. Likely: 40,000,000. Optimistic: 40,000,000. Benchmark: Contracted. Note: Obligated to share — 40M note applies.
Impressions (4-month campaign). Likely: ~85,000,000. Optimistic: ~120,000,000. Benchmark: 5% engagement. Note: 3–5 posts/mo per partner.
Community (followers+engaged). Likely: ~120,000. Optimistic: ~200,000. Benchmark: Phase end. Note: Refer-3 adds organic layer.
Aurora buyers (10–13% of pre-Aurora). Likely: 3,000. Optimistic: 6,240. Benchmark: CoinList 2022. Note: Partner-referred primarily.
Average contribution per buyer. Likely: CHF 500. Optimistic: CHF 750. Benchmark: CoinList benchmark. Note: CHF 500–750 range.
TOTAL AURORA RAISE. Likely: CHF 1,500,000. Optimistic: CHF 4,680,000. Benchmark: Target: CHF 1.5M. Note: Conservative achieved ✓.
Community figure represents all engaged participants — followers, registered, Red Badge, waitlist. Green Badge holders are a subset — verified only after Nebula launches with full Get-to-Green flow. The 40M proxy audience is a contracted simulation assumption, not a public claim until achieved.
Pre-allocated · instant USDC · Genesis phase
Running costs · partner support
SotaTek development pipeline
Aurora closes. Nebula opens. On Day 1 of Nebula — 1,800 verified Green Badge holders are already active. These are the Aurora contributors who completed full Get-to-Green verification during the Aurora phase. Nebula does not start cold. It starts warm.
Note: Green Badge holders are a subset of community — fully KYC-verified members who have completed Proof-of-Bank and the Refer-3 witness mechanic. Community total and Green Badge figures are always shown as distinct metrics. Refer-3 and witness mechanics are protocol features — not an affiliate programme and carry no cash reward.
Get-to-Green goes live. Every new member completes KYC + Proof-of-Bank + Refer-3. The CHF 3 Proof-of-Bank is a platform credit — it converts against future service access fees. It is not platform revenue. Green Badge holders are always a subset of the total community — typically 5–15% of all engaged participants.
Members who invite more than 3 witnesses reach verified Green Badge status faster. The platform communicates this explicitly. This reframes the invite ask from altruistic ("help the protocol grow") to self-beneficial ("go first"). Members naturally invite 5–10 rather than the minimum 3 — and each additional invite is an additional growth event. This single mechanic elevates viral coefficient above the base Refer-3 minimum and is the primary reason the Likely viral coefficient is defended at 1.65 rather than a lower benchmark.
Green Badge holders (Likely). M11 (Open): 1,800. M13: ~4,200. M16 (Close): ~11,500. Note: Seeded from Aurora KYC completions.
Red Badge pool (Likely). M11 (Open): ~3,500. M13: ~8,000. M16 (Close): ~22,000. Note: Awaiting Refer-3 completion.
CNMY burned (cumulative). M11 (Open): ~18,000,000. M13: ~42,000,000. M16 (Close): ~115,000,000. Note: 4,200 CNMY per Green Badge.
PRU vault (cumulative CNMY). M11 (Open): ~9,000,000. M13: ~21,000,000. M16 (Close): ~57,500,000. Note: 5,000 CNMY per Green Badge — platform liability reserve. Note: blockchain interface users pay for membership and all features in CNMY credits throughout platform lifetime..
Raised (cumulative). M11 (Open): ~CHF 13.44M. M13: ~CHF 33.6M. M16 (Close): ~CHF 63.8M ✓. Note: Phase target achieved.
Platform revenue — ALL MONTHS. M11 (Open): CHF 0. M13: CHF 0. M16 (Close): CHF 0. Note: Trust Marketplace not live until M17.
Community total grows from ~120,000 at Nebula open to ~450,000 by close. Green Badge and community figures are always distinct metrics. Refer-3 and witness mechanics are protocol features — not an affiliate programme. Green Badge economics: 10,000 CNMY per activation — 500 airdrop · 300 verifier rewards · 4,200 burned · 5,000 to PRU vault. Separately, blockchain interface users pay recurring membership and all feature access in CNMY credits — creating ongoing demand beyond activation mechanics.
30% USDC + 25% voucher content distribution compensation · Genesis phase
Continuing partner programme
SotaTek — Trust Marketplace
The Trust Marketplace launches. Platform revenue exists for the first time. Partners enter their final content distribution fee phase — and their strongest exclusive window. After Supernova, no content distribution fees are paid anywhere in the programme. The community sustains itself.
Partners have known since contracting that Pulsar is their last content distribution fee phase. The Pulsar exclusive window is their final 14-day window. Contributions through partner links only. 30% USDC + 25% voucher content distribution compensation. This creates maximum partner motivation at maximum audience maturity — the most powerful combination in the programme.
Green Badge holders (Likely). M17 Start: ~15,900. M20: ~46,400. M23 End: ~139,200. Note: Marketplace accelerates verified growth.
Community total. M17 Start: ~450,000. M20: ~750,000. M23 End: ~1,100,000. Note: Phase end target — all engaged participants.
Raised (cumul.). M17 Start: On track. M20: ~CHF 20M. M23 End: ~CHF 20.16M ✓. Note: Phase target achieved.
Monthly Revenue — Likely. M17 Start: CHF 233K. M20: CHF 791K. M23 End: CHF 3,408K. Note: Supporting metric only — R-streams activating.
Self-sustaining milestone. M17 Start: —. M20: —. M23 End: M23 ✓. Note: Fee revenue exceeds operational burn rate.
Revenue shown as a supporting metric during Pulsar — not the primary narrative. Platform revenue exists from Month 17 as the marketplace activates. Revenue becomes the primary headline only in Part III — Post-Supernova. Green Badge holders are always a distinct subset of community total.
Uniswap V3 on Polygon PoS targeted at Months 20–22. DEX listing historically drives a +15–25% Green Badge spike as the token gains exchange visibility and new audiences discover the protocol. Listing timing is subject to volume thresholds and liquidity requirements.
Detonation Point — Month 23: The protocol's organic growth engine no longer requires influencer activity. Fee revenue exceeds operational costs. Refer-3 viral mechanics sustain growth independently. The system is alive without external fuel.
Last phase — instant USDC content distribution fee — Genesis phase
Decreasing — organic mechanics now dominant
Largest SotaTek delivery sprint begins
The final fundraise phase. Full platform delivered. DAO transition begins (progressive — timeline depends on community readiness and governance maturity). No partner content distribution fees. No exclusive windows. The community sustains and governs itself. After Supernova closes — there is no next phase. What follows is growth.
Green Badges (Likely). M24 Start: ~192,000. M27: ~704,000. M31 End: ~1,400,000. Note: Competitive displacement accelerating.
Community total. M24 Start: ~1,100,000. M27: ~1,700,000. M31 End: ~2,200,000. Note: Phase end target.
Raised (cumul.). M24 Start: On track. M27: ~CHF 13M. M31 End: ~CHF 30.2M ✓. Note: Final phase — ceiling component.
Monthly Revenue — Likely. M24 Start: CHF 4.7M. M27: CHF 17.1M. M31 End: CHF 27.5M. Note: All 7 revenue streams active — supporting metric.
M27 reference: Year 1 Oracle milestone — all 7 revenue streams confirmed active. Revenue shown as supporting metric during Supernova — the primary revenue story is told in Part III. Green Badge holders are always a distinct subset of community total.
Organic growth dominant — partner budget fully wound down
Largest engineering investment in Chronimy's history
“The fundraise does not end because the money ran out. It ends because the architecture no longer needs it.”
Eight simulated specialists whose combined analysis underpins every projection, benchmark, and architectural recommendation in this document. All outputs are AI-generated simulations — not financial advice.
Pre-Seed: Genesis circle members, CHF 1,300 each, 16,250 credits per pack — Genesis tier (most credits per voucher) — with a CHF 390 flat referral fee drawn from a separate budget pool.
Partner Recruitment: 3,000 approached, 300 contracted, 40M combined followers — single-tier, Genesis phase, 30% USDC + 25% voucher content distribution compensation, 14-day exclusive window per phase.
Pre-Aurora: Two-beat follower campaign (multi-sig selection + Founder Competition) — 30,000 follower target achieved at Conservative scenario before Aurora opens.
Aurora (M7–M10): CHF 1.5M · 1,250 credits per voucher · 3,000 contributors Likely · 30/20/50 allocation · 1,800 Green Badge bridge into Nebula.
Nebula (M11–M16): CHF 13.44M · Get-to-Green live · CHF 0 platform revenue by design · 11,500 Green Badges · 115M CNMY burned · 57.5M CNMY in PRU vault at close.
Pulsar (M17–M23): CHF 20.16M · Trust Marketplace live — blockchain interface users now paying membership and all features in CNMY credits · final partner exclusive · M23 detonation point — fee revenue exceeds operational burn rate · self-sustaining confirmed.
Supernova (M24–M31): CHF 30.2M · full platform · DAO transition · zero partner fees · 2.2M community · build era ends. What follows is growth.
Glass Treasury · Five Funding Principles · Three-Scenario Model · Phase Breakdown · Post-Supernova milestones M33–M57 · Oracle Consensus Target™
This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, investment, or tax advice. It is not an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security or financial instrument.
CNMY is a utility token. It is designed to function as a utility token under the FINMA and MiCA frameworks in which Chronimy Holdings AG operates. Formal legal opinion (W9 — qualified external legal counsel) is a hard pre-launch gate. It has not been registered under the US Securities Act 1933, FSMA 2000, MiCA, or any other securities regime.
Not available to US persons (Regulation S, Rule 902(k)), UK residents, Canadian residents, or Chinese residents. Geographic exclusion is enforced architecturally — at IP, KYC document, and platform layer — and is permanent constitutional policy.
Forward-looking statements, projections, and modelled outcomes are illustrative only, based on internal assumptions, and may differ materially from actual results.
Chronimy is four core modules + Module 5 auxiliary workstream shipping eleven products on a shared identity layer.
Each phase from Nebula onwards delivers visible product moments. The four core modules + Module 5 auxiliary workstream are the brand. The eleven products are the shipping calendar:
Every revenue-line product is locked. Every viral / governance / distribution product enables a revenue line elsewhere. No product is dropped — eleven shipping moments across three years.
"Deinstitutionalisation means moving people out of institutions that have stopped looking after them, and into communities that actually do. That's the dictionary definition. It's what closed the old asylums in the 1970s and gave people their lives back. Chronimy is the same idea, for the world we're living in now."
This Growth Journey Simulation documents how the community is built — month by month, from Genesis members to 2.2 million. Every number in this paper is a projection, but the principle behind the numbers is not a projection. It is the principle that the people in the space — the ones who entered hoping for dignity and left with less than they started — deserve a community infrastructure that actually looks after them. The phases that follow are how that infrastructure is funded, built, and delivered without the extraction that defines the institutions Chronimy is here to replace.
— The Architect, Chronimy Holdings AG · April 2026
The Glass Treasury Standard · Five Funding Principles · Phased Reward Model · Phase-by-Phase Breakdown · Post-Supernova platform revenue milestones from M33 to M57.
Most projects ask you to trust their promises. Chronimy builds architecture that makes promises irrelevant. Zero founder access to the contribution treasury. Every CHF tracked on-chain. Phase gates enforced by community verification. This is the Glass Treasury — and it is the standard every legitimate project should meet.
Genesis (CHF 195K) + Aurora (CHF 1.5M) · AG & Stiftung established · FINMA legal opinions complete · Module 1 — Get-to-Green live · Core security infrastructure · Initial community verified · Platform functional
+ Nebula (CHF 13.44M) + Pulsar (CHF 20.16M) · All prior deliverables · Module 2 Trust Marketplace · Full team compensation funded · 12–18 month runway secured · DEX listings live · Full marketplace operational
+ Supernova (CHF 30.2M) · All prior deliverables · Module 3 — full platform · 3+ year runway secured · CEX applications submitted · CEX listings — Tier 1 exchange targets · Full DAO governance live
Each phase is gated by delivery from the previous one. If the campaign closes after Aurora — Get-to-Green is live, the community is verified, and the protocol operates. Larger raises deliver more — but less is never nothing. Voucher face value stays CHF 100 across every phase.
Conversion rate. Range: 3.5–6%. Source: Industry standard for crypto-adjacent communities.
Average voucher spend. Range: CHF 350–850. Source: Increases with phase maturity and trust.
Community growth. Range: 3–4× per phase. Source: Organic via Refer-3 + partner mechanics.
Voucher face. Range: CHF 100 constant. Source: Credit rate flat at 1,250 per voucher every phase — early backers receive the founding position and lowest entry, not a price progression.
Projects that front-load raises before building community optimise for extraction. Chronimy does the opposite: community first, raise proportionally.
Genesis. Backer Tier: 2,437,500 CNMY. Voucher Face: CHF 100. Credits/Voucher: 1,250. Phase Target: CHF 195K. Duration: Pre-Aurora. Community Range: 0 → 30K. Distribution Fee: CHF 390/referrer.
Aurora. Backer Tier: 18,750,000 CNMY. Voucher Face: CHF 100. Credits/Voucher: 1,250. Phase Target: CHF 1.5M. Duration: 4 months. Community Range: 30K → 120K. Distribution Fee: 25% instant (partners).
Nebula. Backer Tier: 168,000,000 CNMY. Voucher Face: CHF 100. Credits/Voucher: 1,250. Phase Target: CHF 13.44M. Duration: 6 months. Community Range: 120K → 450K. Distribution Fee: 25% instant (partners).
Pulsar. Backer Tier: 252,000,000 CNMY. Voucher Face: CHF 100. Credits/Voucher: 1,250. Phase Target: CHF 20.16M. Duration: 7 months. Community Range: 450K → 1.1M. Distribution Fee: 25% instant (partners).
Supernova. Backer Tier: 377,500,000 CNMY. Voucher Face: CHF 100. Credits/Voucher: 1,250. Phase Target: CHF 30.2M. Duration: 8 months. Community Range: 1.1M → 2.2M. Distribution Fee: 0% — V16 self-sustaining.
COMMUNITY CEILING TOTAL. Backer Tier: CHF 65.5M. Voucher Face: 25 months. Credits/Voucher: —. Phase Target: —.
Voucher face value stays CHF 100 across every phase, and so do the credits per voucher — the same flat price for everyone, no discount and no bonus. Members in compliant jurisdictions may opt to convert credits to CNMY tokens at Nebula via bidirectional swap. Available in compliant jurisdictions only — not available to US persons, UK residents, Canadian residents, or Chinese residents.
Up to 500 Partners. Distribution Fee: 25% of referred contribution. Payment: Instant USDC. Active: Aurora · Nebula · Pulsar. Source: Pre-allocated budget.
Organic contribution (no partner). Distribution Fee: 30% stays in the member's own vault. Payment: Architect receives nothing. Active: All phases. Source: Member vault.
Genesis Members. Distribution Fee: CHF 300 per member referred. Payment: Instant cash. Active: Genesis phase. Source: Genesis phase budget.
Competition Winners. Distribution Fee: 16,250 credits — one time. Payment: At competition close. Active: Pre-Aurora. Source: Pre-allocated.
Green Badge holders. Distribution Fee: Zero. Payment: —. Active: Never. Source: Protocol mechanics only.
General public. Distribution Fee: Zero. Payment: —. Active: Never. Source: Closed programme.
The Refer-3 mechanic, witness invitations, and Trust Crest sharing are protocol features — not an affiliate programme. Every Green Badge holder participates in growth through the protocol architecture, not through paid referrals. These two things must never be conflated. Organic contributions with no referring partner keep their 30% in the member's own vault — the Architect receives nothing on them.
The Architect (pseudonymous founder) receives compensation through two publicly-disclosed streams: (1) 5% of CNMY token supply (1B CNMY founder vesting, hardcoded to a designated wallet via Founder Vesting — 20% at listing, 80% linear over 36 months capped at 2%/month); (2) a 100-year IP licence at 5% of platform profit, post-launch. The Architect's Genesis-phase costs are covered outside the community raise, not from community funds. The Architect also holds the Vision Guardian seat — a constitutional, unpaid structural watchdog role. The Glass Treasury and AI Oversight ensure no undisclosed flows. Architect-side flows from any post-launch licensing arrangement remain corporate-confidential under standard cross-border IP licensing accounting.
Fee revenue from verified transactions. Burns from every Green Badge activated. PRU vault deepening with every new member. Blockchain interface users paying membership and all platform features in CNMY credits — structural recurring demand layer. The simulation shows what the architecture produces when left to run.
Confidence in projections diminishes materially beyond the Oracle Consensus Target™ at M39. M45 and M57 figures represent the outer boundary of the simulation model and should not be cited as expected outcomes.
Green Badge Holders. +12mo (M33): ~2,300,000. +18mo (M39) ★: ~4,200,000. +24mo (M45) †: ~9,800,000. +36mo (M57) †: ~46,800,000.
X.com Followers. +12mo (M33): ~4,500,000. +18mo (M39) ★: ~9,000,000. +24mo (M45) †: ~18,000,000. +36mo (M57) †: ~55,000,000.
Cumulative CNMY Burned. +12mo (M33): ~2.1B. +18mo (M39) ★: ~4.2B. +24mo (M45) †: ~8.1B. +36mo (M57) †: ~18B+.
Forward platform revenue figures and derived per-token values are not published. Operational scale is described in membership and token-supply terms only.
Per Architect decision A4 (forward token values stripped from all public-facing material), CNMY price projections are not stated. Platform revenue projections are operational metrics — not forward token value statements.
Twelve months post-Supernova, the Refer-3 viral engine operates without partner support. 2.3 million verified Green Badge holders generate fee revenue across 7 active streams. Burns and vault fills have been compounding for over two years. The architecture is proving itself. Forward revenue figures and derived per-token values are not published — operational scale is described in membership terms only.
Platform revenue projections are operational metrics derived from projected member count, fee mechanics, and revenue stream uptake. Forward CNMY token values are stripped from all public material per Architect lock A4.
9.8 million Green Badges. The platform has achieved competitive displacement across trust-dependent verticals. The PRU vault holds billions in CNMY. The system architecture from Day 1 is still running — unchanged, self-sustaining, and accelerating. Outer-boundary scenario only — forward revenue figures and derived per-token values are not published.
46.8 million verified Green Badge holders. This is what trust infrastructure at global scale looks like. Genesis raised CHF 195,000 in the first phase. Three years of disciplined building. The simulation reaches its terminal membership projection here — outer boundary only, not a ceiling, not a forecast. Architecture, compounded. Forward revenue figures and derived per-token values are not published.
† Long-range projections (M45, M57). Confidence diminishes significantly beyond +18 months. The Oracle Consensus Target™ at M39 is the only milestone defended as the primary Likely scenario output. Do not cite M45 or M57 figures as targets or expected outcomes.
The Glass Treasury Standard — zero founder access, bifurcated MPC architecture, 100% on-chain visibility, milestone-gated fund release — the five principles that make promises irrelevant.
The phased reward model: Genesis (CHF 195K) → Aurora (CHF 1.5M) → Nebula (CHF 13.44M) → Pulsar (CHF 20.16M) → Supernova (CHF 30.2M). Total community ceiling CHF 65.5M. Voucher face stays CHF 100 across every phase. Every phase delivers a functional platform.
Phase-by-phase breakdown: targets scale with community size. Members in compliant jurisdictions may opt to convert credits to CNMY tokens at Nebula via bidirectional swap — creating non-discretionary CNMY demand that grows with every blockchain interface user. 25 months of active campaign, Genesis through Supernova.
The Closed Content Distribution Programme: up to 500 contracted partners earn content distribution fees — the Vision Guardian participates as an unpaid observer and earns nothing. Refer-3 is a protocol feature, not an affiliate programme. Declared conflict of interest documented across all Chronimy documents.
Oracle Consensus Target™ at M39: 4.2M Green Badges — the only defensible Likely-scenario membership milestone. M45/M57 are outer boundary only — do not cite as targets. Forward platform revenue figures and forward CNMY token values are not published.
Tables A–E · Full journey milestones D1–M57 · Partner funnel · Revenue · Conversion benchmarks · Credit structure · The re-runnable JOURNEY-1.0 prompt
Key data tables from the full simulation engine — Tables A through E — Likely scenario primary — all figures from canonical locked values.
† † M45/M57 = long-range outer boundary — confidence diminishes beyond M39
Pre-Seed (Day 1). Community / Badges: Genesis. Raise / Progress: CHF 195K. Key Metric: 30K follower target. Event: Chronimy born.
Pre-Aurora campaign. Community / Badges: ~42,000 followers. Raise / Progress: CHF 0 raised. Key Metric: 300+ partners active (baseline) — 40M proxy audience. Event: Multi-sig + competition.
Aurora close (M10). Community / Badges: 120,000 community. Raise / Progress: CHF 1.5M raised. Key Metric: 3,000 contributors. Event: Module 1 delivered.
Nebula M11 (Day 1). Community / Badges: 1,800 Green · 120K community. Raise / Progress: Voucher raise open. Key Metric: Pre-marketplace · revenue not yet active. Event: Get-to-Green live.
Nebula M16 (close). Community / Badges: 11,500 Green · 450K community. Raise / Progress: CHF 13.44M raised. Key Metric: ~115M CNMY burned. Event: Phase target met.
Pulsar M17 (open). Community / Badges: 15,900 Green · 450K community. Raise / Progress: Marketplace live. Key Metric: Revenue stream begins (figures not published). Event: Module 2 delivered.
Pulsar M23 (close). Community / Badges: 139,200 Green · 1.1M community. Raise / Progress: CHF 20.16M raised. Key Metric: Operationally self-sustaining. Event: M23 detonation point.
Supernova M24 (open). Community / Badges: 192,000 Green · 1.1M community. Raise / Progress: Full platform live. Key Metric: —. Event: Module 3 delivered.
Supernova M27. Community / Badges: 704,000 Green · 1.7M community. Raise / Progress: ~CHF 15M raised. Key Metric: —. Event: Year 1 Oracle reference.
Supernova M31 (close). Community / Badges: 1,400,000 Green · 2.2M community. Raise / Progress: CHF 30.2M raised. Key Metric: —. Event: Fundraise era ends.
+12mo Scale (M33). Community / Badges: 2,300,000 Green Badges. Raise / Progress: Fee revenue only · figures not published. Key Metric: —. Event: Pre-Oracle scale.
★ +18mo Oracle (M39). Community / Badges: 4,200,000 Green Badges. Raise / Progress: Fee revenue only · figures not published. Key Metric: —. Event: Oracle Consensus Target™.
+24mo Scale (M45) †. Community / Badges: 9,800,000 Green Badges. Raise / Progress: Fee revenue only · figures not published. Key Metric: —. Event: Outer boundary.
+36mo Scale (M57) †. Community / Badges: 46,800,000 Green Badges. Raise / Progress: Fee revenue only · figures not published. Key Metric: —. Event: Outer boundary.
All figures Likely scenario. Green Badge = fully KYC-verified + Proof-of-Bank + Refer-3 complete — always a subset of community total. Nebula revenue not yet active (Trust Marketplace lives at M17). CNMY credit economy opens at Nebula (M11) — blockchain interface users pay membership and platform features in CNMY from day one of token availability. 40M proxy audience = contracted simulation assumption — not claimed publicly until achieved. Green Badge economics: 10,000 CNMY per activation from burn reserve (500 airdrop · 300 verifier rewards · 4,200 burned · 5,000 PRU vault). Blockchain interface users additionally pay recurring membership and all platform features in CNMY credits. Forward revenue figures and derived per-token values are not published — operational scale is described in membership terms only.
† Long-range projections (M45, M57) — confidence diminishes significantly beyond the Oracle Consensus Target™ at M39. These figures represent the outer boundary of the simulation model. Do not cite as targets or expected outcomes. The Oracle Consensus Target™ at M39 (4,200,000 Green Badges — blockchain interface cohort paying all features in CNMY credits throughout) is the only milestone defended as the primary Likely scenario membership output. Forward revenue figures are not published.
40M partner followers exposed. Conservative: 40,000,000. Likely: 40,000,000. Mechanism: Contracted — obligated to share official content.
Algorithm reach (15–20%). Conservative: 6,000,000. Likely: 8,000,000. Mechanism: Organic feed distribution estimate.
Multi-sig campaign followers. Conservative: ~18,000. Likely: ~29,700. Mechanism: 0.25–0.35% follower conversion rate.
Competition entries — direct follows. Conservative: ~10,000. Likely: ~18,000. Mechanism: Follow required for competition entry.
Tag-3 secondary reach. Conservative: ~30,000. Likely: ~54,000. Mechanism: 3 tags × entrant count — warm personal notification.
Secondary follower converts. Conservative: ~3,000. Likely: ~8,100. Mechanism: ~15% of tagged persons follow @Chronimy.
TOTAL PRE-AURORA X.COM FOLLOWERS. Conservative: ~30,000 ✓ ✓. Likely: ~46,000. Mechanism: Target: 30,000 achieved at Conservative.
40M proxy audience is a contracted simulation assumption — not a public claim until achieved. Follower conversion rate 0.25% applied to algorithm-reached impressions (20% of total audience). Industry benchmark for participation-event influencer campaigns: 0.15–0.35%. Beat 2 tag-3 mechanic creates warm personal notification to approximately 3× entrant count.
Year 1 — M11–M22. Likely: CHF 6.3M. Optimistic: CHF 200.9M. Theoretical Maximum †: CHF 94.2B. Notes: Nebula + early Pulsar — marketplace activating.
Year 2 — M23–M34. Likely: CHF 388.5M. Optimistic: CHF 57.2B. Theoretical Maximum †: CHF 635.6B. Notes: Pulsar + Supernova + early Scale phase.
Year 3 — M35–M46. Likely: CHF 6.94B. Optimistic: CHF 202.4B. Theoretical Maximum †: CHF 602.7B. Notes: Full scale phase — all mechanics mature.
3-Year Total. Likely: CHF 7.33B. Optimistic: CHF 259.9B. Theoretical Maximum †: —. Notes: Likely = primary output for all analysis.
Theoretical Maximum figures represent the mathematical ceiling if all 17 growth mechanics operate at peak simultaneously across all phases. This is NOT a target. NOT a forecast. NOT a projection.
Theoretical Maximum must never be cited as an expected or probable outcome. Nor should the simulation's Year-2/Year-3 "Likely" figures be cited as forecasts — they exceed the defended executive-model underwrite and approach the CHF 18B full-maturity ceiling because the simulation does not cap for market saturation. The DEFENDED revenue underwrite is the executive model (~CHF 24M conservative → CHF 594M+ at 1M active users, all beneath the CHF 18B structural ceiling). All scenario outputs are AI-generated simulations — not investment advice.
Partner → follower (multi-sig event). Industry Average: 0.05–0.15%. Chronimy Model: 0.25–0.35%. Structural Driver: Participation event with real stakes — not awareness content.
Partner → follower (competition). Industry Average: 0.10–0.20%. Chronimy Model: 0.30–0.50%. Structural Driver: Entry requirement — follow @Chronimy is mandatory.
Pre-Aurora follower → Aurora buyer. Industry Average: 1–3%. Chronimy Model: 10–13%. Structural Driver: Warm parasocial trust transfer from partner relationship.
Sign-up → Verified Green Badge. Industry Average: 15–25%. Chronimy Model: 85–95%. Structural Driver: Verification mandatory for platform access — not optional.
Green → Active Transactor. Industry Average: 10–20%. Chronimy Model: 40–60%. Structural Driver: Service access fee discounts + escrow protection for verified.
Green → Silver Badge Upgrade. Industry Average: 5–10%. Chronimy Model: 30–45%. Structural Driver: 3 referrals + service access fee reduction to 5%.
User → Referrer (viral coefficient). Industry Average: 0.1–0.3. Chronimy Model: 1.21–2.29. Structural Driver: Mandatory 3-witness anti-Sybil gate + 17 growth boosters including speed-verification persuasion mechanic (invite more for faster verification) + competition-driven invite behaviour.
All Chronimy model figures are simulation outputs from the canonical locked values. viral coefficient 1.21 = Conservative scenario; 2.29 = Optimistic scenario. The Likely viral coefficient (1.65 Phase 1, 1.35 Phase 2) benefits from 17 compounding growth mechanics, including the speed-verification persuasion mechanic — members who invite more than 3 witnesses reach verified status faster, creating natural incentive to exceed the minimum threshold. Refer-3 and witness mechanics are protocol features — not an affiliate programme and carry no cash reward. Green Badge and community figures are always shown as distinct metrics.
Seed Members (150). Credits Received: 16,250 credits per pack. Effective Price: —. Aurora Face Value: CHF 1,300. Pathway: Founding premium — earliest contributor tier.
Aurora avg contributor. Credits Received: 62,500 credits (5 vouchers). Effective Price: —. Aurora Face Value: CHF 500. Pathway: 5 vouchers · 1,250 credits/voucher · exclusive window via partner links.
Credits are not tokens. Credits are not transferable. Seed allocations are a non-transferable founding instrument. Competition prizes are paid in cash, not credits — no token is ever given away. Conversion to CNMY is probable at Aurora launch subject to licensing being secured in the contributor's jurisdiction where compliant. No conversion is guaranteed.
Copy this prompt in full into any capable AI system to re-simulate the Chronimy Growth Journey. The simulation will reproduce all projections, phase metrics, and growth outcomes documented in this paper.
© 2026 Chronimy Holdings AG · Oracle Consensus Target™ is a Chronimy Holdings AG trademark · Third-party outputs generated from this prompt are not authorised Chronimy projections · For independent verification only
Table A — Full Journey Milestone Summary: Day 1 to Month 57, all phases, Likely scenario. Green Badge always shown as distinct subset of community total. CHF 0 platform revenue confirmed for Nebula (M11–M16).
Table B — Partner Network Funnel: 40M proxy audience → 30,000+ pre-Aurora X.com followers at Conservative · 46,000+ at Likely. 0.25–0.35% follower conversion on algorithm reach (20% of total).
Table C — Annual Revenue (UNCONSTRAINED simulation, NOT the defended forecast): Y1 CHF 6.3M · Y2 CHF 388.5M · Y3 CHF 6.94B · 3-year total CHF 7.33B. Defended underwrite = executive model (~CHF 24M conservative → CHF 594M+ at 1M active users, beneath the CHF 18B ceiling). Simulation Y2/Y3 exceed this and are stress-test upper bounds only.
Table D — Conversion Benchmarks: every Chronimy model figure cross-referenced against industry average with stated structural driver. viral coefficient 1.21–2.29 across three scenarios, supported by 17 compounding mechanics.
Table E — Credit Structure: Seed 16,250 credits per pack · Aurora avg 62,500 credits (5 vouchers). Credits are not tokens; competition prizes are cash, not credits. Conversion probable where compliant — not guaranteed.
JOURNEY-1.0 — the complete 6-section re-runnable simulation prompt. All canonical locked values, legal declarations, and output structure. Feed into any capable AI for independent personal verification only.
This document and all projections contained within it are outputs of an AI-generated simulation produced by a panel of simulated specialist personas. The personas are named and given professional backgrounds for narrative clarity — they are not real individuals, not licensed financial analysts, and not regulated investment advisers. No real person with these names has reviewed or endorsed this document.
All figures — user numbers and operational scale — are illustrative projections based on the canonical locked parameters embedded in the Chronimy protocol design. Forward platform revenue figures, derived CNMY token prices, and market capitalisation ranges are not published. The figures presented are not forecasts. They are not guarantees. They are not representations of what will happen. Actual outcomes will differ materially from these projections, potentially by a very large amount in either direction.
Nothing in this document constitutes financial advice, an offer or solicitation to purchase any financial instrument, security, or token. CNMY is a utility token. Genesis credits are non-transferable and convert to CNMY at Nebula only where legally compliant — conversion is probable in compliant jurisdictions but is not guaranteed. This document has not been approved by the FCA, FINMA, or any other regulatory authority. US persons may not participate under Regulation S.
The analytical models cited (Bass Diffusion, Metcalfe's Law, NVT Ratio, Revenue Multiple methodology) are real, published academic frameworks with extensive real-world validation. Their application to Chronimy produces the projections presented. The models do not guarantee outcomes — they structure the analysis.
The Oracle Consensus Target at Month 39 is 4.2 million Green Badge holders. Before examining whether that membership scale is achievable, it is worth understanding what it represents as a fraction of the addressable market. Forward platform revenue figures and derived per-token values are not published — the analysis that follows is grounded in membership scale and per-user behaviour benchmarks only.
The Oracle Consensus Target of 4.2 million Green Badge holders represents 0.079% of the total internet population and 1% of current global crypto wallet holders. This is a conservative fraction of a very large market. Comparable platforms that achieved network effects at scale — Airbnb (150M+ users), Stripe (millions of businesses), LinkedIn (1B+ members) — all began with similarly modest initial targets relative to their eventual scale.
The defensibility of the token price projection in Section 5 rests not only on supply destruction mechanics but on the existence of three independent, structural sources of demand. These are not speculative — they are contractual, architectural, and usage-driven.
Every blockchain interface user must purchase CNMY to access the platform. Membership is CNMY-denominated. All Chronimy Credits — consumed by Trust Checks, escrow, listings, and every feature — are purchased with CNMY at market rate. This is direct, non-discretionary, recurring demand tied purely to platform usage. The more blockchain interface users, the greater the structural buy pressure on the open market.
13% of all platform profit — including revenue from fiat path users who never touch CNMY — is used to purchase CNMY on the open market and permanently destroy it. This demand is hardcoded, non-discretionary, and has no cap. It grows proportionally with platform revenue and continues indefinitely regardless of market conditions or any individual's decision.
Collateral providers earn a variable share of monthly profit (up to 20%, no minimum) for the CNMY they lock, paid only after that month's member claims are covered and the PRU is restored, up to a 20% ceiling. At Oracle Consensus Target operational scale, settling the fee creates structural CNMY market-buy pressure (autonomous TWAP via Collateral Provision Fee) — the higher the platform revenue, the larger the buy pressure on CNMY. Providers who exit must be replaced by new providers acquiring CNMY from the open market to maintain participation equilibrium. Forward revenue figures and derived token-supply implications are not published.
All three forces are independent of each other and operate simultaneously. A user engaging the blockchain interface (Force A) generates profit (which funds Forces B and C). A user on the fiat path (who creates no direct CNMY demand) also generates profit (which funds Forces B and C). The architecture ensures that CNMY demand is created by every user on every path — directly by blockchain interface users and indirectly by fiat users through the profit allocation mechanics.
When analysts value a platform, they look for precedent — comparable companies that have achieved similar scale in similar markets. The challenge with Chronimy is that no direct precedent exists. The following analysis breaks the platform into its component parts, identifies the closest comparable for each, and makes clear why the unified model is more valuable than the sum of its parts.
Credit and identity verification for fiat users. $32B+ market cap. No blockchain. No portable reputation. No crypto interface. No community governance. Centralised data. No user ownership.
Crypto-native identity on blockchain. Wallet required. No fiat path. No mainstream accessibility. No protection reserve. No revenue-backed service compensation. No unified badge credential.
Platform-specific reputation. Non-portable. No financial protection. No verification of reviewer identity. No blockchain anchor. No crypto interface. No user-owned credential.
Blockchain infrastructure. Crypto-only. No fiat users. No identity layer. No mainstream badge system. Revenue-backed token yield — the closest economic comparable for the CNMY Collateral Provision Fee.
KYC/AML compliance tools. B2B. No consumer platform. No portable credential. No community. No blockchain. No token economy. No PRU protection reserve.
Fiat path + crypto interface. Portable verified badge. PRU protection reserve. Revenue-backed Collateral Provision Fee. Constitutional governance. Community-owned. Deflationary token. Unified ecosystem.
The absence of a direct comparable is both a challenge and a structural advantage. It is a challenge because analysts default to comparable multiples — and there is no single platform to take the multiple from. It is an advantage because if Chronimy achieves what none of those platforms has achieved — the unified fiat-plus-crypto verified identity ecosystem — it faces no direct competition at scale.
The methodological per-user spend benchmark for verified marketplace platforms is approximately CHF 23.71 per active user per month across blended fee streams (transaction + escrow + premium + verification).
Airbnb: ~$24/booking × multiple bookings = comparable per-user revenue. Fiverr: ~$20–50/transaction. Stripe: 2.9% on transactions of various sizes. eBay: 12–15% on transaction value.
CHF 23.71/user/month from a platform where users conduct verified trust-based transactions is below the comparable figures for established marketplace platforms. Note: blockchain interface users additionally pay for membership and all features in CNMY at market rate on top of CHF-denominated fiat path fees — the CHF benchmark captures fiat path per-user spend only. Forward platform revenue totals at any given membership level are not published.
The per-user fee benchmark is derived from a bottom-up structure: average transactions per month × average transaction value × platform fee rate. Each input is drawn from comparable marketplace platforms, not from aspirational assumptions. Forward platform revenue is a function of membership × per-user spend — neither side of that calculation is published as a forward total.
R1 — Transaction Fees. Mechanism / Rate: 7% of transaction value · Green Badge users. Comparable Benchmark: Airbnb (3%), Fiverr (20%), eBay (13%) — 7% is mid-range for verified marketplaces.
R2 — Escrow Fees. Mechanism / Rate: CHF 2 flat per protected transaction. Comparable Benchmark: Stripe flat fees, PayPal per-transaction charges — CHF 2 flat is below-market.
R3 — Premium Profiles. Mechanism / Rate: CHF 10–20/month · 8% uptake of active users (assumed). Comparable Benchmark: LinkedIn Premium ($30–60/mo), Trustpilot Premium — 8% is conservative.
R4–R7 — Trust Checks. Mechanism / Rate: Basic/deep verification lookups · Who Checked You · Deep upgrades. Comparable Benchmark: Experian credit check fees · background verification market $3.5B globally.
Per-user fee rates are benchmarked against comparable marketplace platforms. Forward platform revenue figures and derived per-token values are not published. Comparable benchmarks are cited for structural reference only — Chronimy does not claim to be directly comparable to these companies in all respects.
Every figure in the membership-and-fee-structure analysis — the modelled operational outputs — is derived from this single input. If the platform reaches 4.2 million Green Badge holders, the chain of arithmetic that follows is correct. If it does not, the projections do not hold. Forward platform revenue figures and derived per-token values are not published.
The Supernova phase closes at Month 31 with a projected 1.4 million Green Badges. The platform then needs to grow by an additional 2.8 million badges over 8 months — approximately 350,000 new verified users per month during Months 31–39.
The Bass Diffusion inflection at Month 22 means organic referral growth (Get-to-Green, 1 user → 3) supplements paid acquisition. Member Growth allocation (19% of post-launch platform revenue per the 10-way constitutional split) funds community growth spend at a rate that scales with platform operations. At a conservative customer acquisition cost of CHF 20 per verified user, the combined model — paid acquisition plus organic referral — produces the 4.2M target as its Likely outcome. This is what the Oracle Consensus Target defends. Forward platform revenue figures and derived marketing-budget allocations are not published.
Every input is drawn from a documented source. Every methodology is published and peer-reviewed. Every calculation is reproducible. The Oracle prompt is public — any person with access to an AI system can re-run the simulation and challenge the output. The projection is not defensible because we say so. It is defensible because the logic is visible and the inputs are verifiable.
Models describe the world under assumed conditions. If adoption is slower than the Bass model predicts, revenue will be lower. If token markets assign lower multiples, market cap will be lower. If staking participation is lower, liquid supply will be higher and price will be lower. Defensible means the reasoning is sound — not that the outcome is certain.
This is an AI simulation. The personas, the projections, and the outputs are generated by artificial intelligence. They are not financial advice. They are not regulatory-approved forecasts. They are a structured analytical framework applied to publicly documented protocol parameters. Every disclaimer in Section 4.0 applies to everything that follows.
The Chronimy model is unprecedented. No project in the history of blockchain has built a single unified ecosystem serving both fiat and crypto-native users under constitutional governance with a deflationary token, revenue-backed Collateral Provision Fee, and a portable verified identity credential that works across both paths. The membership projection in Section 4 is only achievable because of this structural uniqueness. Forward platform revenue figures and market cap projections are not published.
The fee structure is grounded in industry-comparable data. The methodological per-user spend benchmark for verified marketplace platforms is approximately CHF 23.71 per active user per month — below the comparable figures for Airbnb, Fiverr, and eBay at equivalent scale. The fee rates (7% transaction fee, CHF 2 escrow, CHF 10–20 premium) are all at or below market rates for comparable verified marketplace platforms. Forward platform revenue totals are not published.
Four independently validated models are used. Bass Diffusion (growth curve), Metcalfe's Law (network value), NVT Ratio (token valuation), Revenue Multiple (platform valuation). Each has been validated against real-world data and is widely used by professional analysts. Their application to Chronimy is the basis of the projections in Section 5.
Everything depends on one number. 4.2 million Green Badge holders at Month 39. If the platform achieves this — and the fiat path, the Get-to-Green referral mechanic, and the partner network exist precisely to make it achievable — then the arithmetic of Section 5 follows. If it does not, the projections do not hold. That is the risk. It is also the opportunity.